Vukan Lavadinovic, Zoran Popović, Nenad Ranković, Aleksandar Radosavljević


Serbia is characterized by favourable natural conditions for the management of game, whose abundance is unsatisfactory. One of the reasons for that is poaching as a harmful activity that directly affects the abundance of the main hunting game species. Although many domestic experts and researchers agree that poaching has a significant negative impact on the management of hunting game, this detrimental effect is not given adequate attention. That is why the aim of this study is to draw the attention of stakeholders to this problem. The paper tests the possibility of building a statistical model that can be used to predict the volume of poaching. On the basis of 13 variables analyzed in 129 hunting grounds, the results indicate that it is possible to predict the extent of poaching using the power regression model with three variables and a R2 = 0.23  coefficient of determination.


poaching, regression models, variables, Serbia

Full Text:



Biodiversity Strategy of the Republic of Serbia for the period 2011-2018. (2011) Biological diversity of the Republic of Serbia. Ministry of Environment and Spatial planning. Publikum, Belgrade.

Byers, J.E., Noonburg, E.G. (2007) POACHING, ENFORCEMENT, AND THE EFFICACY OF MARINE RESERVES, Ecological Applications, 17 (7), pp. 1851–1856.

Caniglia, R., Fabbri, E., Greco, C., Galaverni, M., Randi, E. (2010) Forensic DNA against wildlife poaching: Identification of a serial wolf killing in Italy, Forensic Science International: Genetics, 4 (5), pp. 334-338.

FACE. 2002. Hunting in Austria. [online] Available at: [Accessed 09 April 2014].

Lavadinović, V., Ranković, N., Petrović, N., Radosavljević, A. (2012) Poaching in Serbia: Factor analysis, In: International Symposum on hunting - Moderns aspects of sustainable management of game population, Zemun-Belgrade, Serbia, 22-24. June 2012, Zemun-Belgrade, Agriculture faculty, University of Belgrade, Serbia.

Manel, S., Berthier, P., Luikart, G. (2002) Detecting Wildlife Poaching: Identifying the Origin of Individuals with Bayesian Assignment Tests and Multilocus Genotypes, Conservation Biology 16 (3), pp. 650–659.

Ndibalema, V.G., Songrowa, A.N. ( 2008) Illegal meat hunting in Serengeti: dynamics in consumption and preferences, African Journal of Ecology, 46 (3), pp. 311-319.

Papaioannou, H., Kati, V. (2007) Current status of the Balkan chamois (Rupicapra rupicapra balcanica) in Greece: Implications for conservation, Belgian Journal of Zoology, 137, pp. 33-39.

Popović, Z., Beuković, M., Gačić, D., Novaković, N. (2003) Results of deer (Cervus elaphus L) management, Zbornik radova Instituta za šumarstvo, 48-49, pp. 15-22.

Popović, Z., Gačić, D., Beuković, M., Novaković, N. (2004) The analyses of the deer number (Cervus elaphus L.) and elimination by shooting on hunting ground 'Kozara', Zbornik naučnih radova Instituta PKB Agroekonomik, 10 (2), pp. 109-115.

Ranković, N., Popović, Z. (2002) Dinamika odstrela i vrednost izlova nekih vrsta divljači u Srbiji, Savremena poljoprivreda, 51 (3-4), pp. 195-198.

Rowcliffe, J.M., de Merode, E., Cowlishaw, G. (2004) Do wildlife laws work? Species protection and the application of a prey choice model to poaching decisions, Procedings B, the Royal Society Publishing, 271, pp. 1557.

Sindičić, M. (2009) Krivolov najvažniji uzrok pada brojnosti populacije risa- Na putu u prošlost, Dobra kob, Kolovoz 2009, pp. 42-43.

Statistical yearbook of Serbia. (2010) Statistical yearbook 2010, Statistical office of the Republic of Serbia.

Šelmić, V., Gačić, D., Ćeranić, A. (2001) Hunting and hunting industry, Yugoslav Survey, 3, pp. 103-132.

Valchev, K., Andonov, Kr., Popgeorgiev, G., Plachijski, D., Avramov, St. (2006) Action Plan for the Chamois in Bulgaria: 2007-2016, BBF – SFA, Sofia, pp. 93.

Vapa, M., Jovanović, V., Orlić, D. (2006) European brown hare syndrome in Vojvodina, Savremena poljoprivreda, 55 (3-4), pp. 17-23.

Webb, S., Haines, A. (2012) To catch a poacher, Quality Whitetails, December 2012-January 2013, pp. 64-66.

Zabel, A., Holm-Müller, K. (2008) Conservation Performance Payments for Carnivore Conservation in Sweden, Conservation Biology, 22 (2), pp. 247–251.

Zentralstelle Österreichischer Landesjagdverbände. 2003. DAS WILD- Statistik der wichtigsten jagdbaren Wildarten. [online] Available at: [Accessed 09 April 2014].



  • There are currently no refbacks.

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.


ISSN: 2335-0113

Publisher: Visio Mundi Academic Media Group

Creative Commons License
This journal is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.